Equity Deep Dive
Build a company note from profile, prices, fundamentals, metrics, estimates, events and ownership context.
MCP gives agents governed tools. QJ Skills give them repeatable financial research workflows: evidence collection, route selection, output structure and compliance boundaries for buy-side and research teams.
The public pack is a curated, installable subset of QJ workflows. It includes methodology and evidence standards without internal tenant assumptions, private tool maps or operating details.
Build a company note from profile, prices, fundamentals, metrics, estimates, events and ownership context.
Bring rates, the macro calendar, benchmarks and commodities into one market-regime brief.
Prepare for earnings, compare results with consensus and track surprises, estimate changes and follow-up questions.
Review 13F ownership, holder concentration and reported flows with filing delays and coverage caveats attached.
Organize comparables, ratios, estimates and scenarios around explicit assumptions and sensitivities.
Maintain a living thesis as events, evidence, open questions and coverage gaps change over time.
Test a thesis against the bear case, missing evidence, coverage limits and potential research biases.
Track event risk, factor context, exposure changes and watch items for a portfolio review.
API routes provide the data. MCP exposes approved tools. Skills define how an agent gathers evidence, handles gaps and turns results into a reviewable research note.
Use tenant-scoped MCP tools with provider metadata and audit context.
Follow a playbook for tool selection, evidence collection, gap handling and output structure.
Keep facts, interpretation, sources, caveats and open questions visible for review.
Build a deep dive for MSFT before the investment meeting. Include fundamentals, valuation, recent events, ownership context, risks and open questions.
Every note records the tools used and gaps in the available evidence.
sections:
- company_snapshot
- fundamentals_and_valuation
- events_and_filings
- ownership_and_flow
- risks_and_open_questions
required:
tools_used: true
coverage_gaps: true
no_investment_advice: trueThe public repository contains Markdown skills, examples, shared evidence standards, output contracts and compliance boundaries. Review the instructions and adapt them to your team's research process.
Open qj-agent-skills on GitHub ↗A skill tells the agent which routes to call, in what order, which caveats to attach and how to write the note — so facts, interpretation and open questions never blur. Open-source files you can read, change and version like code.
Open an example to see its prompt, research note, evidence and coverage gaps.
Company research note built from profile, prices, fundamentals, metrics, estimates, events and ownership context.
FINRA consolidated short interest, settlement 31 Aug 2026.
| P/E trailing · EV/EBITDA | 22.7× · 16.5× |
| Revenue y/y | +345.7% |
| ROIC · ROE | 44.0% · 70.5% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | −0.27× (net cash) |
| Income quality | 1.02 |
| Capex / revenue | 28.0% at 2.8× depreciation |
| Inventory days · cash cycle | 126 · 198 days |
| Consensus, 30 Sep | $31.27 EPS on $50.59bn |
Cheapest multiple in large-cap semis on the fastest growth, funded from net cash rather than leverage. Income quality of 1.02 says the earnings are arriving as cash — the distinguishing feature against peers below 1.0. The 198-day cash conversion cycle is the memory cycle showing through the balance sheet, and it is the channel through which a demand pause hurts before it reaches the P&L.
Rates, macro calendar, benchmarks and commodity context summarised into a market-regime read.
All three rebased to 100 at 18 Aug 2026. SKEW above the base while VIX and VVIX sit below it.
| Reading | Level | Source |
|---|---|---|
| CPI y/y · unemployment · claims | 3.35% · 4.1% · 196k | bls · fred |
| 2s10s · 2-year move in Sep | +25bp · +37bp | fmp |
| Total public debt outstanding | $40.09tn · +$354bn in 6 weeks | treasury |
| SOFR, 17 Sep | 3.85% · +23bp in a day | fred |
| Specs, 10Y futures | −812.5k contracts | cftc |
| VIX · SKEW | 14.81 · 148.1 | cboe |
| Fear & Greed · BTC funding | 29 · +8.04% p.a. | cnnf · ccxt |
| October hike priced | 54.5% · +17pt in a week | polymarket |
Late-cycle reflation with an unhedged equity market and a front end under supply pressure. Prices are re-accelerating into a tightening labour market while the Treasury added $354bn of debt in six weeks; SOFR printing 3.85% on 17 September is that supply arriving in the funding market. Spot volatility is below where August began while SKEW is above it — convexity is bid, level is not. Sentiment reads fear while positioning shows nothing defensive. The asymmetry is not in the hike; it is in how little is hedged against it.
Pre-earnings setup, consensus context, surprise recap, estimate drift and post-event watch items.
Average published target per window; sample size in brackets. Dashed line is spot.
| Window | Published | Average target | vs spot |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 days | 2 | $1,300.00 | +28.0% |
| Last quarter | 24 | $1,557.08 | +53.3% |
| Last 12 months | 102 | $793.28 | −21.9% |
| All time | 260 | $376.30 | −63.0% |
Estimate drift into the print is negative: the 30-day average sits 16.5% below the 90-day average. At the same time the stock trades 21.8% below even the reduced average. Either the street is walking down a target it will not defend, or the market is discounting a cycle turn the street has not yet written down.
13F ownership, holder concentration and delayed institutional-flow context — with the filing-lag caveat attached automatically.
Holdings are Q2 2026 13F filings, position-dated 30 June 2026, filed through 14 August. As of today they are 81 days stale, and the quarter-end price of $200.09 is 10.0% below the current $222.27. Nothing below describes a current position.
100 filers returned by this route; breadth is added ÷ (added + cut).
| Institutional shares | 14.47bn across 100 filers |
| Top-10 concentration | 56.3% · BlackRock alone 8.03% |
| Net change in the cohort | +829M shares |
| Short interest | 298.3M · 2.14 days to cover |
| Long-to-short ratio | 48 : 1 |
Concentrated but not one-sided. The net add is driven by the index complex rather than conviction managers, and breadth at 51% is a coin flip. With a 48:1 long-to-short ratio there is almost no positioning counterweight, so flow-driven downside would have little to cover into.
Comps, ratios, estimates and scenario valuation with assumptions written down and a sensitivity table.
Free cash flow yield versus the 18 Sep ten-year and August CPI. The valuation carries a −318bp spread to the risk-free rate.
| Path | What must change | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| A · capex normalises | FCF ≈ 100% of operating cash flow, i.e. capex → 0 | arithmetically impossible |
| B · cash flow grows | operating cash flow +174% at an unchanged capex ratio | possible, demanding |
| C · multiple compresses | neither of the above; the gap closes through price | the residual |
The valuation does not rest on capex normalising — the arithmetic rules that out. It rests on operating cash flow roughly tripling, or on accepting a negative spread to the risk-free rate for an extended period. That is a defensible position; it is a different one from “capex is temporary”.
Bear case and bias review that challenges a prior thesis against evidence, coverage and risk signals.
Income quality = operating cash flow ÷ net income, trailing twelve months. Below 1.0 means reported earnings exceed cash generated.
| Income quality | 0.70 — cash below earnings |
| Inventory days · cash cycle | 150 · 154 days |
| Days to cover | 2.14 — no short base to squeeze |
| 13F breadth, Q2 | 51% — half the cohort reduced |
Three of the four supports in the thesis are restatements of one fact — growth. The consensus target is cited as confirmation, but a 53.8% average upside across 22 publications in 30 days is a crowded view, not an independent one. No falsifier is stated anywhere in the thesis.
Without a method, every prompt re-improvises the analysis and every analyst gets a different note. With a method, the same question produces the same shape of answer — today, next quarter, for anyone on the desk.
Every output separates Facts (what the data said) from Interpretation (what the agent concluded) and Open questions (what it could not establish), and ends with Coverage and Tools used. Caveats such as the 13F filing lag are attached automatically.
Connect the MCP endpoint, clone the skill pack, and name the skill in your prompt — “Use qj-equity-deep-dive on Micron.” The skill picks the routes, the gateway resolves the institutions, the envelope records who answered.